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Red92
978722.9
547248.7
1052354.7
Blue156
409115.2
283272.4
514260.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571725010020025092156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+74
Endgame+82
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +50
11Coral scored#19
38Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
52Total teleop102
Reef
3L4#9
6L3#6
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
18Foul points0
92Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.74.4
59.054.7
Auto8.4
Teleop38.4
End7.8
blue by 17.8
72.40.6
72.072.6
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
Second
5472
#39
48.74.4
53.148.7
Auto11.7
Teleop32.6
End4.5
blue by 12.1
5142
#17
60.90.6
60.360.9
Auto11.8
Teleop39.9
End9.2
Third
9787
#72
22.94.4
27.322.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.7
End3.4
red by 7.7
4091
#73
15.20.6
14.615.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed