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Red222
18870.6
502668.2
222862.1
Blue84
741533.7
62467.4
409115.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211985015025030022284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+45Auto
+116Teleop
+138Endgame
+138Fouls
AutonomousRed +45
0Leave6
10Coral scored#0
51Coral points0
51Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +71
33Coral scored#15
119Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
145Total teleop74
Reef
14L4#6
11L3#4
14L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#19
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +138
0Foul points0
222Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#14
70.61.1
59.860.9
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
red by 3.3
624
#36
67.42.6
61.859.1
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
Second
5026
#24
68.21.1
61.862.9
Auto19.7
Teleop40.6
End7.8
red by 34.5
7415
#63
33.72.6
26.423.7
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Third
2228
#40
62.11.1
62.263.3
Auto12.7
Teleop40.7
End8.7
red by 46.8
4091
#73
15.23.5
12.48.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed