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Red157
14879.1
384763.1
300839.3
Blue146
744442.1
188037.6
36053.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18213250100150200250157146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+3
+9Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
20Coral scored#22
71Coral points78
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
109Total teleop116
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#7
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points0
157Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#5
79.11.3
69.368.0
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
red by 25.6
360
#74
53.50.4
57.257.6
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
Second
3847
#20
63.11.3
62.461.1
Auto10.8
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 21.1
7444
#75
42.10.5
38.739.2
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End0.3
Third
3008
#51
39.31.3
31.430.1
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End4.9
red by 1.7
1880
#42
37.60.4
32.833.2
Auto7.4
Teleop28.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed