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Qual 1242025 Newton Division
Red138
138865.9
753130.4
182545.5
Blue204
761765.6
171055.4
393774.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150215100200250300138204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+34
Endgame+64
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
8Coral scored#10
40Coral points48
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +23
19Coral scored#23
68Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
92Total teleop115
Reef
12L4#14
7L3#7
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points2
138Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#26
65.90.8
67.7→66.8
Auto12.8
Teleop44.8
End8.3
blue by 8.8
3937
#9
74.70.3
71.5→71.8
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
Second
1825
#60
45.50.8
46.3→45.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
blue by 20.1
7617
#31
65.60.3
65.3→65.6
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
Third
7531
#62
30.40.8
31.3→30.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
blue by 25.0
1710
#58
55.40.3
55.1→55.4
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned