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Red241
514260.9
907270.0
1323113.5
Blue146
427274.3
756551.0
512426.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246153100200300241146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+87Teleop
+97Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave3
9Coral scored#2
47Coral points12
50Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +52
36Coral scored#21
131Coral points77
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
165Total teleop113
Reef
18L4#6
14L3#9
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
52Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points2
241Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto27.2
Teleop73.8
End12.5
red by 39.2
4272
#23
74.31.0
78.877.8
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
Second
70.00.0
56.256.2
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
red by 19.0
7565
#65
51.01.0
41.340.3
Auto6.9
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Third
5142
#17
60.90.0
56.556.6
Auto11.8
Teleop39.9
End9.2
red by 34.5
5124
#50
26.41.2
28.227.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned