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Red156
93057.4
632871.0
1001447.6
Blue178
182545.5
490534.1
859050.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193141100150250156178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +26
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
42Coral points22
51Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +34
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points83
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
12Processor points12
8Net points28
20Algae points40
89Total teleop123
Reef
11L4#7
5L3#12
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points4
156Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#47
71.01.7
72.570.8
Auto15.4
Teleop46.0
End9.6
red by 20.3
8590
#28
50.72.3
48.450.8
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
Second
930
#43
57.41.7
46.745.0
Auto14.5
Teleop36.9
End6.0
red by 11.9
1825
#60
45.52.3
42.244.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
Third
47.61.7
51.149.4
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End5.9
red by 13.5
4905
#66
34.12.3
37.539.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned