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Red162
753130.4
353878.3
584351.3
Blue137
12579.9
643143.7
263532.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176150100120140160200220240162137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
10Coral scored#4
51Coral points21
51Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +23
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
81Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#5
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
14Foul points0
162Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.30.4
77.076.6
Auto18.5
Teleop53.0
End6.8
blue by 1.6
125
#55
79.90.1
74.974.9
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
Second
5843
#41
51.30.4
49.849.4
Auto12.2
Teleop33.1
End6.0
red by 7.6
6431
#70
43.70.1
41.341.4
Auto7.8
Teleop35.8
End0.1
Third
7531
#62
30.40.5
27.126.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
blue by 1.7
2635
#61
32.20.1
19.819.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed