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Red172
761765.6
10860.6
188037.6
Blue175
449979.8
107263.6
978722.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15017350100200250172175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+17Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points33
51Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +2
24Coral scored#21
87Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
115Total teleop113
Reef
10L4#12
10L3#7
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
172Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#31
65.61.9
58.160.0
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
blue by 14.2
4499
#29
79.81.0
73.974.9
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
Second
108
#30
60.61.9
52.254.1
Auto18.2
Teleop38.0
End4.4
blue by 3.0
1072
#34
63.61.0
61.462.4
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End9.2
Third
1880
#42
37.61.9
33.235.1
Auto7.4
Teleop28.3
End1.9
red by 14.7
9787
#72
22.91.2
24.725.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned