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Red175
744442.1
449979.8
490534.1
Blue273
907270.0
86882.4
297475.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166242100150200300350175273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+92
Endgame+92
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points42
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +85
21Coral scored#32
75Coral points116
3Processor algae#5
3Net algae#11
18Processor points30
12Net points44
30Algae points74
105Total teleop190
Reef
7L4#14
11L3#13
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points6
175Total score273

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#29
79.80.1
74.974.8
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
blue by 2.7
868
#11
82.41.9
83.685.5
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
Second
7444
#75
42.10.1
39.539.5
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End0.3
blue by 32.9
2974
#49
75.01.9
76.077.8
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
Third
4905
#66
34.10.1
39.939.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End4.5
blue by 35.8
70.01.9
56.258.1
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned