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Red212
632871.0
177892.9
673834.4
Blue174
222862.1
94846.2
490968.6
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21120104006008001,000212174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
31Coral scored#28
111Coral points102
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
145Total teleop126
Reef
11L4#14
12L3#10
9L2#4
8L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points2
212Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#12
92.90.6
90.190.7
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
red by 24.3
4909
#57
68.61.6
73.772.1
Auto17.3
Teleop40.6
End10.7
Second
6328
#47
71.00.6
70.871.4
Auto15.4
Teleop46.0
End9.6
red by 8.9
2228
#40
62.11.6
63.662.0
Auto12.7
Teleop40.7
End8.7
Third
6738
#59
34.40.6
28.328.9
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
blue by 11.8
948
#15
46.21.6
44.542.9
Auto11.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned