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Red167
756551.0
107263.6
36053.5
Blue150
150246.7
409115.2
365557.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18512150100150200250167150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+25Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
20Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +34
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points65
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
24Processor points12
32Net points20
56Algae points32
131Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
167Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#34
63.60.4
62.462.0
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End9.2
red by 6.4
3655
#46
57.21.9
58.660.4
Auto12.3
Teleop34.8
End10.1
Second
360
#74
53.50.4
59.258.8
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
red by 6.7
1502
#32
46.71.9
43.245.0
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
Third
7565
#65
51.00.4
40.339.9
Auto6.9
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 35.8
4091
#73
15.22.1
9.111.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned