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Red164
753130.4
553563.1
384763.1
Blue246
42295.7
18870.6
699641.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163210100150250300164246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+56
Endgame+76
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave6
4Coral scored#10
20Coral points52
23Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +21
25Coral scored#34
89Coral points122
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
18Processor points18
28Net points16
46Algae points34
135Total teleop156
Reef
9L4#18
9L3#13
6L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points6
164Total score246

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#20
63.10.0
61.061.0
Auto10.8
Teleop44.5
End7.9
blue by 32.6
422
#4
95.72.6
90.893.4
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
Second
5535
#27
63.10.0
65.665.6
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
blue by 7.5
188
#14
70.62.6
61.764.4
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
Third
7531
#62
30.40.0
26.626.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
blue by 11.4
6996
#18
41.82.6
36.839.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned