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Red223
182545.5
427274.3
42295.7
Blue138
1007729.5
540679.4
10860.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229165100150200250300223138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+65Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points38
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +68
29Coral scored#17
103Coral points61
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
18Processor points12
32Net points12
50Algae points24
153Total teleop85
Reef
15L4#9
11L3#6
4L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
223Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
95.70.3
92.292.5
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
red by 16.4
5406
#25
79.41.9
77.876.0
Auto19.3
Teleop49.1
End10.9
Second
4272
#23
74.30.3
78.578.8
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
red by 13.7
108
#30
60.61.9
54.152.2
Auto18.2
Teleop38.0
End4.4
Third
1825
#60
45.50.3
41.942.2
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
red by 16.0
29.51.9
28.927.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed