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Red174
666536.1
756358.0
859050.7
Blue149
171055.4
694060.1
584351.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13816850100200250300350174149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+13Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +41
27Coral scored#20
98Coral points73
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
132Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#9
10L3#5
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
174Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7563
#45
58.02.2
49.651.9
Auto12.5
Teleop36.6
End8.8
blue by 2.1
6940
#52
60.11.5
53.752.2
Auto19.2
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Second
8590
#28
50.72.2
46.248.4
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
blue by 4.7
1710
#58
55.41.1
49.248.1
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
Third
6665
#48
36.12.2
33.435.7
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End6.9
blue by 15.2
5843
#41
51.31.1
50.949.8
Auto12.2
Teleop33.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed