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Red176
177892.9
1001447.6
150246.7
Blue146
173040.4
753130.4
1052354.7
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209145100250176146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
24Coral scored#24
88Coral points85
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
6Processor points6
20Net points24
26Algae points30
114Total teleop115
Reef
14L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#8
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points6
176Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#12
92.92.1
91.889.8
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
red by 38.2
54.70.9
57.256.3
Auto8.4
Teleop38.4
End7.8
Second
47.62.1
53.151.1
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End5.9
red by 7.2
1730
#67
40.40.8
55.554.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End5.1
Third
1502
#32
46.72.1
44.642.5
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
red by 16.3
7531
#62
30.41.1
28.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned