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Red209
449979.8
673834.4
553563.1
Blue205
512426.4
353878.3
614773.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178175160170190200209205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points40
47Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +17
27Coral scored#25
96Coral points89
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#9
12Processor points24
24Net points36
36Algae points60
132Total teleop149
Reef
16L4#13
8L3#10
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#46
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
209Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#29
79.81.9
71.973.9
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
red by 1.5
78.32.2
74.877.0
Auto18.5
Teleop53.0
End6.8
Second
5535
#27
63.11.9
63.365.3
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
blue by 10.1
6147
#16
73.22.2
60.562.7
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
Third
6738
#59
34.41.9
27.529.4
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
red by 8.0
5124
#50
26.42.7
25.628.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned