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Red261
86882.4
18870.6
1323113.5
Blue195
93057.4
304464.8
36053.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295170100150200250350400261195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+52Teleop
+72Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave6
12Coral scored#6
59Coral points31
59Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +30
41Coral scored#24
148Coral points86
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#9
12Processor points24
16Net points36
28Algae points60
176Total teleop146
Reef
17L4#11
20L3#8
9L2#8
7L1 · trough#3
59Game pieces#43
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points6
261Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.51.2
117.2116.1
Auto27.2
Teleop73.8
End12.5
red by 48.7
3044
#19
64.80.4
65.365.7
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
Second
868
#11
82.41.2
85.584.3
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
red by 25.0
930
#43
57.40.4
48.448.7
Auto14.5
Teleop36.9
End6.0
Third
188
#14
70.61.2
64.463.2
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
red by 17.2
360
#74
53.50.4
58.859.1
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed