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Red154
409115.2
14879.1
643143.7
Blue132
490534.1
246861.0
553563.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13420250100150250300154132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
12Processor points12
36Net points12
48Algae points24
112Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points42
154Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#5
79.11.4
69.070.4
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
red by 16.0
5535
#27
63.15.7
65.659.8
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
Second
6431
#70
43.71.4
39.440.8
Auto7.8
Teleop35.8
End0.1
blue by 17.3
2468
#38
61.05.7
61.856.1
Auto8.0
Teleop44.7
End8.3
Third
4091
#73
15.21.4
11.212.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
blue by 18.9
4905
#66
34.15.7
39.834.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned