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Red182
756358.0
62467.4
753130.4
Blue163
978722.9
29467.3
94846.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158144100120180200220182163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
31Coral scored#24
112Coral points88
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
138Total teleop122
Reef
12L4#13
9L3#6
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points2
182Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#36
67.41.8
61.663.3
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
red by 0.1
294
#37
67.31.5
57.659.1
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
Second
7563
#45
58.01.8
54.356.1
Auto12.5
Teleop36.6
End8.8
red by 11.8
948
#15
46.21.5
42.944.3
Auto11.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Third
7531
#62
30.41.8
26.628.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
red by 7.5
9787
#72
22.91.5
27.529.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned