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Red150
555328.9
1001447.6
171055.4
Blue194
188037.6
502668.2
742673.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13218150100150200250150194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave6
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points44
30Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#21
64Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#7
12Processor points24
28Net points28
40Algae points52
104Total teleop128
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#10
3L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
150Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#58
55.41.0
53.754.6
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
blue by 17.7
73.11.4
63.364.7
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
Second
47.61.0
47.248.2
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End5.9
blue by 20.6
5026
#24
68.21.4
60.461.9
Auto19.7
Teleop40.6
End7.8
Third
5553
#54
28.91.0
23.224.2
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End4.0
blue by 8.7
1880
#42
37.61.4
37.539.0
Auto7.4
Teleop28.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned