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Red280
62467.4
42295.7
44975.4
Blue184
761765.6
666536.1
93057.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24015950100200300280184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+76Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points38
41Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +79
38Coral scored#18
135Coral points64
4Processor algae#4
11Net algae#9
24Processor points24
44Net points36
68Algae points60
203Total teleop124
Reef
20L4#12
11L3#5
8L2#4
7L1 · trough#5
61Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
280Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
95.72.6
91.193.7
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
red by 30.2
7617
#31
65.61.0
62.463.4
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
Second
449
#10
75.42.6
66.569.1
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End9.4
red by 18.0
930
#43
57.41.0
51.552.5
Auto14.5
Teleop36.9
End6.0
Third
624
#36
67.42.6
63.466.0
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
red by 31.3
6665
#48
36.11.0
36.237.2
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned