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Red203
242951.4
427274.3
304464.8
Blue57
908537.3
300839.3
978722.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2199105015020025030020357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+124Teleop
+146Endgame
+146Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
9Leave0
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points6
47Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +83
27Coral scored#8
96Coral points29
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
130Total teleop47
Reef
16L4#3
10L3#4
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
42Game pieces#13
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +146
0Foul points0
203Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#23
74.30.7
75.976.6
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
red by 35.0
3008
#51
39.32.7
35.833.1
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End4.9
Second
3044
#19
64.80.7
63.964.6
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
red by 27.5
9085
#69
37.32.7
33.230.5
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End4.9
Third
2429
#64
51.40.7
53.153.8
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End7.6
red by 28.5
9787
#72
22.92.7
28.625.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed