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Red213
756358.0
490534.1
177892.9
Blue249
2910117.0
502668.2
756551.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200251100150300213249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points51
51Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +30
25Coral scored#24
90Coral points88
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#12
18Processor points30
28Net points48
46Algae points78
136Total teleop166
Reef
18L4#10
6L3#8
6L2#11
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
213Total score249

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#12
92.92.0
90.692.6
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
blue by 24.1
117.02.0
116.1118.1
Auto28.1
Teleop75.8
End13.1
Second
7563
#45
58.02.0
57.859.8
Auto12.5
Teleop36.6
End8.8
blue by 10.2
5026
#24
68.22.0
63.665.6
Auto19.7
Teleop40.6
End7.8
Third
4905
#66
34.12.0
34.136.1
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End4.5
blue by 16.9
7565
#65
51.02.0
39.941.9
Auto6.9
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned