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Red187
694060.1
12579.9
673834.4
Blue207
384763.1
1052354.7
10860.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175189100150250300187207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
10Coral scored#7
49Coral points34
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
23Coral scored#32
81Coral points116
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
113Total teleop144
Reef
11L4#17
11L3#12
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
187Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#55
79.91.3
78.579.8
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
red by 16.8
3847
#20
63.11.9
60.762.6
Auto10.8
Teleop44.5
End7.9
Second
6940
#52
60.11.3
56.958.2
Auto19.2
Teleop34.3
End6.5
blue by 0.6
108
#30
60.61.9
58.560.3
Auto18.2
Teleop38.0
End4.4
Third
6738
#59
34.41.3
31.833.2
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
blue by 20.3
54.71.9
60.061.9
Auto8.4
Teleop38.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned