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Red233
614773.2
94846.2
907270.0
Blue223
18870.6
547248.7
14879.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190211100150250300350233223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +11
33Coral scored#26
120Coral points95
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
24Processor points30
20Net points28
44Algae points58
164Total teleop153
Reef
14L4#15
13L3#7
9L2#8
6L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
233Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6147
#16
73.22.9
70.773.6
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
blue by 5.9
148
#5
79.11.4
72.573.9
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
Second
70.02.9
60.763.6
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
blue by 0.7
188
#14
70.61.4
67.769.0
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
Third
948
#15
46.22.9
44.647.5
Auto11.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
blue by 2.5
5472
#39
48.71.4
51.252.6
Auto11.7
Teleop32.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned