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Red166
29467.3
699641.8
171055.4
Blue142
36053.5
1007729.5
222862.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174170150160180190166142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points30
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
18Processor points12
20Net points28
38Algae points40
94Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#6
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
16Foul points0
166Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#37
67.31.2
63.161.9
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
red by 5.2
2228
#40
62.11.1
62.961.8
Auto12.7
Teleop40.7
End8.7
Second
1710
#58
55.41.2
55.153.9
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
red by 1.9
360
#74
53.51.1
57.055.9
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
Third
6996
#18
41.81.2
39.338.0
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End9.3
red by 12.3
29.51.1
28.126.9
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned