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Red187
173040.4
553563.1
86882.4
Blue134
34354.5
859050.7
241261.3
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171820100300400187134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+23Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#22
81Coral points78
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
24Processor points12
20Net points8
44Algae points20
125Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#9
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#31
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
187Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#11
82.40.8
85.084.2
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
red by 21.1
2412
#21
61.32.9
57.454.5
Auto14.3
Teleop38.5
End8.5
Second
5535
#27
63.10.8
60.259.3
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
red by 8.7
343
#33
54.52.9
58.255.3
Auto11.1
Teleop36.0
End7.4
Third
1730
#67
40.40.8
43.042.2
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End5.1
blue by 10.3
8590
#28
50.72.9
50.247.3
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed