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Red145
744442.1
93057.4
753825.0
Blue128
978722.9
242951.4
753130.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111980100140160180200145128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points31
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
86Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
145Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#43
57.41.5
52.554.0
Auto14.5
Teleop36.9
End6.0
red by 6.0
2429
#64
51.41.3
53.855.0
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End7.6
Second
7444
#75
42.11.5
40.642.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End0.3
red by 11.7
7531
#62
30.41.3
29.530.8
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
Third
7538
#56
25.01.5
23.925.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End5.6
red by 2.1
9787
#72
22.91.3
25.927.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned