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Red170
62467.4
180765.4
666536.1
Blue154
365557.2
188037.6
512426.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19913250100150250300170154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+28Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points29
27Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +30
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points75
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#7
30Processor points6
24Net points28
54Algae points34
139Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#12
9L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
170Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#36
67.40.7
66.065.2
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
red by 10.2
3655
#46
57.21.5
57.559.1
Auto12.3
Teleop34.8
End10.1
Second
1807
#35
65.40.7
66.265.5
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End4.6
red by 27.8
1880
#42
37.61.5
37.839.4
Auto7.4
Teleop28.3
End1.9
Third
6665
#48
36.10.7
37.236.5
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End6.9
red by 9.8
5124
#50
26.41.5
24.225.7
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned