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Red205
297475.0
632871.0
409115.2
Blue246
2910117.0
555328.9
427274.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181256100150200300205246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#9
21Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +8
34Coral scored#31
121Coral points111
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
18Processor points24
20Net points32
38Algae points56
159Total teleop167
Reef
11L4#11
13L3#13
5L2#7
9L1 · trough#9
46Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points2
205Total score246

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#49
75.01.9
75.777.5
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
blue by 42.0
117.00.8
118.1118.9
Auto28.1
Teleop75.8
End13.1
Second
6328
#47
71.01.9
70.772.6
Auto15.4
Teleop46.0
End9.6
blue by 3.3
4272
#23
74.30.8
76.677.4
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
Third
4091
#73
15.21.9
16.518.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
blue by 13.7
5553
#54
28.90.8
23.424.2
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned