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Red221
584351.3
514260.9
742673.1
Blue158
300839.3
761765.6
490534.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19714650100250221158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+49Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +56
27Coral scored#22
97Coral points79
4Processor algae#1
10Net algae#5
24Processor points6
40Net points20
64Algae points26
161Total teleop105
Reef
12L4#8
7L3#8
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#34
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
221Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.12.3
65.767.9
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
red by 7.5
7617
#31
65.60.9
63.464.4
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
Second
5142
#17
60.92.3
55.858.1
Auto11.8
Teleop39.9
End9.2
red by 21.6
3008
#51
39.30.9
33.134.0
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End4.9
Third
5843
#41
51.32.3
48.050.3
Auto12.2
Teleop33.1
End6.0
red by 17.1
4905
#66
34.10.9
36.137.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned