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Red232
10860.6
14879.1
86882.4
Blue150
666536.1
512426.4
29467.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25012350100150200300350232150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+74Teleop
+84Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
11Coral scored#6
55Coral points30
58Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +49
29Coral scored#15
104Coral points53
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
24Processor points18
20Net points28
44Algae points46
148Total teleop99
Reef
18L4#9
8L3#6
7L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points2
232Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#11
82.40.2
84.284.4
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
red by 15.1
294
#37
67.30.8
61.962.7
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
Second
148
#5
79.10.2
73.974.0
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
red by 43.0
6665
#48
36.10.8
36.537.4
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End6.9
Third
108
#30
60.60.2
60.360.5
Auto18.2
Teleop38.0
End4.4
red by 34.3
5124
#50
26.40.8
25.726.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned