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Red151
699641.8
34354.5
150246.7
Blue154
673834.4
907270.0
93057.4
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163169120140180200151154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
19Coral scored#26
70Coral points95
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
94Total teleop115
Reef
6L4#10
9L3#10
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
151Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#33
54.50.2
55.355.5
Auto11.1
Teleop36.0
End7.4
blue by 15.5
70.00.1
63.663.5
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
Second
1502
#32
46.70.2
49.049.2
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
blue by 10.7
930
#43
57.40.1
54.053.9
Auto14.5
Teleop36.9
End6.0
Third
6996
#18
41.80.2
38.038.2
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End9.3
red by 7.4
6738
#59
34.40.1
33.233.0
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned