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Red160
29467.3
742673.1
107263.6
Blue155
263532.2
304464.8
297475.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209180100150250160155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+3Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
28Coral scored#25
100Coral points91
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
128Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#16
9L3#6
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#34
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
160Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.12.5
65.563.0
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
blue by 1.9
2974
#49
75.01.5
76.875.3
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
Second
294
#37
67.32.5
57.254.8
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
red by 2.5
3044
#19
64.81.5
65.063.6
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
Third
1072
#34
63.62.5
63.961.4
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End9.2
red by 31.4
2635
#61
32.21.5
21.219.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed