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Red210
171055.4
297475.0
180765.4
Blue211
300839.3
42295.7
1052354.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214213180190200220230240250260210211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points38
51Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +15
28Coral scored#26
99Coral points94
5Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
30Processor points24
24Net points20
54Algae points44
153Total teleop138
Reef
12L4#15
13L3#7
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
210Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#49
75.00.3
77.577.2
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
blue by 20.7
422
#4
95.70.3
94.995.2
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
Second
1807
#35
65.40.3
65.565.1
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End4.6
red by 10.8
54.70.3
61.962.2
Auto8.4
Teleop38.4
End7.8
Third
1710
#58
55.40.3
53.953.5
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
red by 16.1
3008
#51
39.30.3
34.034.3
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned