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Red163
744442.1
761765.6
365557.2
Blue135
632871.0
1007729.5
555328.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18913450100150200250163135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +10
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
110Total teleop100
Reef
14L4#10
6L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
163Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#31
65.60.4
64.464.0
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
blue by 5.4
6328
#47
71.00.6
72.673.2
Auto15.4
Teleop46.0
End9.6
Second
3655
#46
57.20.4
59.158.7
Auto12.3
Teleop34.8
End10.1
red by 27.7
29.50.6
26.927.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Third
7444
#75
42.10.4
42.141.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End0.3
red by 13.2
5553
#54
28.90.6
24.224.8
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned