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Red250
694060.1
222862.1
2910117.0
Blue135
449979.8
1042842.5
753130.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27415250100200250300350250135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+99Teleop
+109Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
9Leave3
12Coral scored#7
61Coral points37
70Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +69
31Coral scored#17
110Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
148Total teleop79
Reef
18L4#10
11L3#7
10L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
6Foul points0
250Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.00.4
118.9118.5
Auto28.1
Teleop75.8
End13.1
red by 37.2
4499
#29
79.81.6
78.777.0
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
Second
2228
#40
62.10.4
61.861.4
Auto12.7
Teleop40.7
End8.7
red by 19.6
42.51.6
38.737.1
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End3.5
Third
6940
#52
60.10.4
58.257.8
Auto19.2
Teleop34.3
End6.5
red by 29.6
7531
#62
30.41.6
30.829.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned