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Red261
553563.1
86882.4
42295.7
Blue223
29467.3
44975.4
393774.7
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267223150200250300350400261223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+16Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave9
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points39
61Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +3
34Coral scored#36
122Coral points129
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
24Processor points6
16Net points24
40Algae points30
162Total teleop159
Reef
12L4#11
15L3#17
10L2#11
9L1 · trough#5
54Game pieces#51
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
261Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
95.70.4
96.096.4
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
red by 20.3
449
#10
75.40.1
75.375.4
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End9.4
Second
868
#11
82.40.4
82.783.1
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
red by 7.7
74.70.1
74.674.7
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
Third
5535
#27
63.10.4
62.763.1
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
blue by 4.2
294
#37
67.30.1
67.267.3
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7