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Red230
12579.9
14879.1
614773.2
Blue238
62467.4
907270.0
449979.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251227150200300350230238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +2
27Coral scored#33
98Coral points118
4Processor algae#3
12Net algae#8
24Processor points18
48Net points32
72Algae points50
170Total teleop168
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#17
10L2#6
6L1 · trough#8
48Game pieces#52
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +8
4Foul points0
230Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#55
79.90.2
80.280.1
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
red by 0.1
4499
#29
79.80.6
77.978.5
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
Second
148
#5
79.10.2
79.479.2
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
red by 9.1
70.00.6
68.769.3
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
Third
6147
#16
73.20.2
73.573.4
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
red by 5.8
624
#36
67.40.6
65.566.1
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3