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Red141
16662.9
31928.0
83950.4
Blue106
207922.5
999128.4
237049.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651050200300400141106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
36Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
79Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
141Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#3
62.90.8
61.660.8
Auto15.6
Teleop36.9
End10.4
red by 13.3
2370
#17
49.70.6
59.860.4
Auto8.4
Teleop33.3
End8.0
Second
839
#5
50.40.8
59.058.1
Auto10.8
Teleop31.8
End7.9
red by 22.0
28.41.0
13.914.9
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Third
319
#1
28.00.8
32.832.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
red by 5.5
2079
#11
22.50.6
23.323.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned