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Red8
841017.2
151212.2
23818.8
Blue115
999610.5
19063.2
192232.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6815901002003004005008115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+95
Endgame+107
Fouls+107
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points32
6Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +60
0Coral scored#12
0Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
0Total teleop60
Reef
1L4#8
0L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +107
0Foul points0
8Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#12
18.84.3
26.322.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End-0.1
blue by 44.4
190
#10
63.20.7
70.970.2
Auto22.6
Teleop34.9
End5.6
Second
8410
#21
17.24.3
29.024.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End3.9
blue by 15.5
32.70.7
40.139.5
Auto9.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Third
1512
#14
12.24.3
17.212.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End4.6
red by 1.7
9996
#18
10.51.1
13.912.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned