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Red145
632870.7
767412.5
172140.1
Blue103
636722.9
568775.6
33239.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172170120140160180200220145103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#15
77Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
103Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
145Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.4
72.371.9
Auto20.5
Teleop42.8
End7.3
blue by 4.9
75.63.2
83.079.8
Auto22.6
Teleop46.7
End6.2
Second
40.10.4
39.839.4
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End6.2
red by 17.2
6367
#24
22.93.2
33.230.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.9
End-0.1
Third
7674
#20
12.50.4
23.423.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End-1.1
red by 3.2
3323
#25
9.33.2
21.017.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed