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Red90
804634.9
234230.3
346744.9
Blue93
13130.6
632435.2
454619.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1741250501001502002503003504009093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points40
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
61Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
90Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#23
44.94.7
60.655.9
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End3.9
red by 9.7
6324
#15
35.22.7
43.841.1
Auto10.7
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Second
8046
#19
34.94.7
49.344.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.2
End5.8
red by 4.3
131
#13
30.62.7
45.342.6
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End1.6
Third
2342
#22
30.34.7
42.137.5
Auto10.2
Teleop17.3
End2.7
red by 10.3
19.92.7
33.430.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed