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Red25
9993-0.5
207922.5
841017.2
Blue77
99994.0
237049.7
151212.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010601502002502577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+18
Endgame+32
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points19
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
12Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points20
25Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2079
#11
22.52.5
23.921.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 27.1
2370
#17
49.72.0
60.458.4
Auto8.4
Teleop33.3
End8.0
Second
8410
#21
17.22.5
24.722.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End3.9
red by 5.0
1512
#14
12.22.0
12.910.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End4.6
Third
9993
#26
-0.54.2
13.99.8
Auto2.7
Teleop-3.0
End-0.2
blue by 4.5
9999
#16
4.03.4
13.910.6
Auto3.7
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned