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Red92
632435.2
99994.0
804634.9
Blue133
151212.2
172140.1
16662.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313040608010014016018092133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
54Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#9
2L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points2
92Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#15
35.21.2
39.538.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.4
End3.1
blue by 27.8
166
#3
62.90.1
60.961.0
Auto15.6
Teleop36.9
End10.4
Second
8046
#19
34.91.2
40.939.6
Auto6.9
Teleop22.2
End5.8
blue by 5.2
40.10.1
42.742.8
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Third
9999
#16
4.02.0
10.88.8
Auto3.7
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
blue by 8.2
1512
#14
12.20.1
10.911.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned