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Red145
19063.2
23818.8
999128.4
Blue46
346744.9
767412.5
9993-0.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1348105010015020025014546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+93Teleop
+97Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points17
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +73
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points20
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
18Processor points0
24Net points4
42Algae points4
97Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
2Foul points0
145Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#10
63.21.7
64.165.8
Auto22.6
Teleop34.9
End5.6
red by 18.3
3467
#23
44.92.1
46.744.7
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End3.9
Second
28.42.8
20.723.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End4.2
red by 15.8
7674
#20
12.52.1
15.513.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End-1.1
Third
238
#12
18.81.7
21.022.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End-0.1
red by 19.3
9993
#26
-0.53.5
4.71.2
Auto2.7
Teleop-3.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed