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Red97
237049.7
31928.0
999610.5
Blue69
234230.3
454619.9
636722.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116950501509769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
+16Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
29Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
50Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points0
97Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#17
49.70.7
55.354.5
Auto8.4
Teleop33.3
End8.0
red by 19.4
2342
#22
30.30.8
33.132.2
Auto10.2
Teleop17.3
End2.7
Second
319
#1
28.00.7
31.530.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
red by 5.2
6367
#24
22.90.8
24.623.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.9
End-0.1
Third
9996
#18
10.51.2
9.38.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 9.4
19.90.8
23.823.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed