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Red143
83950.4
632870.7
192232.7
Blue119
172140.1
13130.6
99994.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19095050150250300143119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave6
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points13
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#16
77Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
95Total teleop82
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points14
143Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.72.3
70.868.6
Auto20.5
Teleop42.8
End7.3
red by 30.5
40.10.3
42.842.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Second
839
#5
50.42.3
53.951.6
Auto10.8
Teleop31.8
End7.9
red by 19.8
131
#13
30.60.3
34.434.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End1.6
Third
32.72.3
34.332.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
red by 28.7
9999
#16
4.00.5
8.88.3
Auto3.7
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned