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Red112
632435.2
841017.2
568775.6
Blue71
207922.5
33239.3
804634.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1646405010015020025030011271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
7Coral scored#4
36Coral points19
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
66Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
112Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.62.5
79.376.8
Auto22.6
Teleop46.7
End6.2
red by 40.7
8046
#19
34.90.6
39.639.1
Auto6.9
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Second
6324
#15
35.22.5
38.235.7
Auto10.7
Teleop21.4
End3.1
red by 12.7
2079
#11
22.50.6
22.521.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
8410
#21
17.22.5
20.517.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End3.9
red by 7.9
3323
#25
9.30.6
12.111.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned