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Red87
151212.2
346744.9
999610.5
Blue98
16662.9
234230.3
767412.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731240501001502008798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+15
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points27
15Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
52Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
87Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#23
44.91.4
44.746.0
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End3.9
blue by 18.0
166
#3
62.90.6
61.060.4
Auto15.6
Teleop36.9
End10.4
Second
1512
#14
12.21.4
11.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End4.6
blue by 18.1
2342
#22
30.30.6
32.231.7
Auto10.2
Teleop17.3
End2.7
Third
9996
#18
10.52.3
8.010.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 2.0
7674
#20
12.50.6
13.412.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned